General Election Match-Ups from Recent State Polling
Support for Electoral Maps (pages 6 – 7)
|
State |
EVs |
Poll |
Date |
Results |
Margin |
|
Alabama |
9 |
Survey USA |
April 11-13 |
HRC 34 / McCain 60 Obama 34 / McCain 64 |
HRC -26 Obama -30 |
|
Alaska |
3 |
Rasmussen |
May 14 |
HRC 36 / McCain 53 Obama 41 / McCain 50 |
HRC -17 Obama -9 |
|
Arizona |
10 |
Behavior Research Center’s Rocky Mountain Poll |
May 12-20 |
HRC 36 / McCain 51 Obama 39 / McCain 50 |
HRC -15 Obama -11 |
|
Arkansas |
6 |
Rasmussen |
May 12 |
HRC 53 / McCain 39 Obama 33 / McCain 57 |
HRC +14 Obama -24 |
|
California |
55 |
LA Times / KTLA |
May 20-21 |
HRC 43 / McCain 40 Obama 47 / McCain 40 |
HRC +3 Obama +7 |
|
Colorado |
9 |
Rasmussen |
May 19 |
HRC 44 / McCain 47 Obama 48 / McCain 42 |
HRC -3 Obama +6 |
|
Connecticut |
7 |
Rasmussen |
March 11 |
HRC 47 / McCain 44 Obama 50 / McCain 38 |
HRC +3 Obama +12 |
|
Florida |
27 |
Quinnipiac |
May 13-20 |
HRC 48 / McCain 41 Obama 41 / McCain 45 |
HRC +7 Obama -4 |
|
Georgia |
15 |
Strategic Vision |
May 9-11 |
Obama 40 / McCain 54 |
Obama -14 |
|
Rasmussen |
May 6 |
HRC 37 / McCain 48 |
HRC -11 |
||
|
Hawaii |
4 |
Survey USA |
March 6 |
HRC 43 / McCain 39 Obama 61 / McCain 31 |
HRC +4 Obama +30 |
|
Idaho |
4 |
Survey USA |
March 6 |
HRC 27 / McCain 63 Obama 39 / McCain 52 |
HRC -36 Obama -13 |
|
Illinois |
21 |
Survey USA |
March 6 |
HRC 48 / McCain 37 Obama 60 / McCain 31 |
HRC +11 Obama +29 |
|
Indiana |
11 |
Research 2000 for WSBT/South Bend Tribune |
April 21-24 |
HRC 41 / McCain 52 Obama 43 / McCain 51 |
HRC -11 Obama -8 |
|
Iowa |
7 |
Rasmussen |
May 13 |
HRC 42 / McCain 45 |
HRC -3 |
|
Survey USA |
May 21-22 |
Obama 47 / McCain 38 |
Obama +9 |
||
|
Kansas |
6 |
Rasmussen |
May 13 |
HRC 39 / McCain 53 Obama 34 / McCain 55 |
HRC -14 Obama -21 |
|
Kentucky |
8 |
Rasmussen |
May 22 |
HRC 51 / McCain 42 Obama 32 / McCain 57 |
HRC +9 Obama -25 |
|
Louisiana |
9 |
Southern Media & Opinion Research |
March 26-April 9 |
HRC 42 / McCain 49 Obama 35 / McCain 51 |
HRC -7 Obama -16 |
|
Maine |
4 |
Rasmussen |
May 14 |
HRC 51 / McCain 38 Obama 51 / McCain 38 |
HRC +13 Obama +13 |
|
Maryland |
10 |
Gonzales Research & Polling |
Feb 23-March 1 |
HRC 47 / McCain 40 Obama 51 / McCain 37 |
HRC +7 Obama +14 |
|
Massachusetts |
12 |
Rasmussen |
April 23 |
HRC 55 / McCain 36 Obama 51 / McCain 39 |
HRC +19 Obama +12 |
|
Michigan |
17 |
Rasmussen |
May 7 |
HRC 44 / McCain 44 Obama 44 / McCain 45 |
HRC +0 Obama -1 |
|
Minnesota |
10 |
Rasmussen |
May 22 |
HRC 53 / McCain 38 Obama 53 / McCain 38 |
HRC +15 Obama +15 |
|
Mississippi |
6 |
Research 2000 for DailyKos.com |
May 19-21 |
HRC 36 / McCain 55 Obama 39 / McCain 54 |
HRC -19 Obama -15 |
|
Missouri |
11 |
Survey USA |
May 16-18 |
HRC 48 / McCain 46 Obama 45 / McCain 48 |
HRC +2 Obama -3 |
|
Montana |
3 |
Mason Dixon |
May 19-21 |
HRC 40 / McCain 51 Obama 39 / McCain 47 |
HRC -11 Obama -8 |
|
Nebraska |
5 |
Research 2000 for DailyKos.com |
May 19-21 |
HRC 28 / McCain 58 Obama 29 / McCain 57 |
HRC -30 Obama -28 |
|
Nevada |
5 |
Rasmussen |
May 20 |
HRC 46 / McCain 41 Obama 40 / McCain 46 |
HRC +5 Obama -6 |
|
New Hampshire |
4 |
Rasmussen |
May 21 |
HRC 51 / McCain 41 Obama 48 / McCain 43 |
HRC +10 Obama +5 |
|
New Jersey |
15 |
Research 2000 for the Bergen Record |
April 25-29 |
HRC 46 / McCain 41 Obama 48 / McCain 40 |
HRC +5 Obama +8 |
|
New Mexico |
5 |
Rasmussen |
May 14 |
HRC 47 / McCain 41 Obama 50 / McCain 41 |
HRC +6 Obama +9 |
|
New York |
31 |
Siena |
May 12-15 |
HRC 51 / McCain 39 Obama 49 / McCain 38 |
HRC +12 Obama +11 |
|
North Carolina |
15 |
PPP |
May 8-9 |
HRC 38 / McCain 46 Obama 42 / McCain 49 |
HRC -8 Obama -7 |
|
North Dakota |
3 |
Dakota Wesleyan University |
March 24-April 3 |
HRC 33 / McCain 53 Obama 38 / McCain 44 |
HRC -20 Obama -6 |
|
Ohio |
20 |
Quinnipiac |
May 13-20 |
HRC 48 / McCain 41 Obama 40 / McCain 44 |
HRC +7 Obama -4 |
|
Oklahoma |
7 |
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates |
April 7-10 |
HRC 30 / McCain 60 Obama 21 / McCain 62 |
HRC -30 Obama -41 |
|
Oregon |
7 |
Rasmussen |
May 7 |
HRC 46 / McCain 40 Obama 52 / McCain 38 |
HRC +6 Obama +14 |
|
Pennsylvania |
21 |
Rasmussen |
May 21 |
HRC 50 / McCain 39 Obama 45 / McCain 43 |
HRC +11 Obama +2 |
|
Rhode Island |
4 |
Survey USA |
February 26-28 |
HRC 54 / McCain 37 Obama 53 / McCain 38 |
HRC +17 Obama +15 |
|
South Carolina |
8 |
Survey USA |
February 26-28 |
HRC 42 / McCain 48 Obama 45 / McCain 48 |
HRC -6 Obama -3 |
|
South Dakota |
3 |
Dakota Wesleyan University |
March 24-April 3 |
HRC 30 / McCain 59 Obama 34 / McCain 51 |
HRC -29 Obama -17 |
|
Tennessee |
11 |
Rasmussen |
April 3 |
HRC 38 / McCain 52 Obama 31 / McCain 58 |
HRC -14 Obama -27 |
|
Texas |
34 |
Research2000 for DailyKos.com |
May 5-7 |
HRC 38 / McCain 53 Obama 39 / McCain 52 |
HRC -15 Obama -13 |
|
Utah |
5 |
Dan Jones & Associates for the Deseret Morning News/KSL-TV |
May 13-19 |
HRC 20 / McCain 65 Obama 27 / McCain 62 |
HRC -45 Obama -35 |
|
Vermont |
3 |
Survey USA |
February 26-28 |
HRC 49 / McCain 39 Obama 63 / McCain 29 |
HRC +10 Obama +34 |
|
Virginia |
13 |
Virginia Commonwealth University |
May 12-18 |
HRC 39 / McCain 47 Obama 39 / McCain 47 |
HRC -8 Obama -8 |
|
Washington |
11 |
Rasmussen |
May 12 |
HRC 47 / McCain 42 Obama 51 / McCain 40 |
HRC +5 Obama +11 |
|
West Virginia |
5 |
Survey USA |
February 26-28 |
HRC 47 / McCain 42 Obama 35 / McCain 53 |
HRC +5 Obama -18 |
|
Wisconsin |
10 |
Rasmussen |
May 5 |
HRC 43 / McCain 47 Obama 43 / McCain 47 |
HRC -4 Obama -4 |
|
Wyoming |
3 |
Survey USA |
February 26-28 |
HRC 28 / McCain 61 Obama 35 / McCain 54 |
HRC -33 Obama -19 |